Alexander Bae

Comparing great powers' arctic strategies What steps should the United States take to address the emergence of the Arctic as the next arena of the Great Power Competition?

Started July 12, 2023

Abstract or project description

Alex will compare and contrast great powers' arctic plans for the near future. The arctic occupies a relatively minor portion of our attention today when it comes to foreign policy, but as the climate quickly changes and countries' priorities shift north, it will become an increasingly important area to focus on. Two areas in particular stand out. The first is nuclear deterrence in the arctic--Russia is already positioning missiles there, and NATO-aligned countries will have to adapt. The second is traditional arctic capabilities, like icebreakers, arctic bases, as well as economic infrastructure.

Very Rough Draft: The Arctic has long-been a realm of regional cooperation, understanding, and peace, insulated from the geopolitical tensions that unfold between an adversarial Russia and our allies across the globe. Indeed, the Arctic states once cooperated on issues including search and rescue, scientific research, and the environment, but alas, those days are over. As a result of climate change, the region has become increasingly accessible, amplifying competition to safeguard economic interests and bolster national security. As the region only grows in importance, the U.S needs to be better equipped for dealing with evolving Russian and Chinese interests in the region or else the region could be redefined as one of conflict and instability.